RBA deputy warns inflation 'materially worse' as hike odds top 50%
RBA deputy Hauser says inflation is 'materially worse' as markets price a November hike above 50 per cent, hitting borrowers near 2024 payment peaks.
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Australian inflation coverage — CPI prints, what drives them and how they flow through to rates, wages and prices.
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RBA deputy Hauser says inflation is 'materially worse' as markets price a November hike above 50 per cent, hitting borrowers near 2024 payment peaks.
Our September hike call was right. Run on the data since, our framework reads a hold at the RBA's 3 November meeting, with the labour market now pulling against still-high inflation.
Australia's unemployment rate reached 4.7% in September 2026 as 39,300 jobs disappeared, cutting the odds of a November rate hike.
ABS building activity data shows WA completed 19,569 dwellings in 2025-26, down 14% on the year, as apartment completions fell 40%.
Former RBA board member Ian Harper says another 2026 rate hike is plausible but not likely, weeks after the cash rate lifted to 4.60 per cent.
The ABS will publish CPI on the fourth Wednesday of each month from February 2027, after determining a mid-2026 weight update is unnecessary.
From October 1, Australian businesses can no longer add card surcharges, forcing 16% of merchants to absorb or reprice the cost of accepting payments.
The RBA has reportedly flagged that inflation risks may be materialising, which could pause the rate-cut cycle that has eased mortgage costs for
The ABS June 2026 quarter national accounts show GDP up 0.4% as construction input costs and rents push domestic prices higher.
After a missed August call, our framework reads the July inflation, jobs and wages data as a hike at the RBA's 29 September meeting.
Self-improving AI agents that learn from stored memory can inflate rewards for wrong answers, then preferentially reuse their most confident mistakes
More than half of Australians surveyed by the RBA think higher interest rates push inflation up, not down, and it changes how monetary policy actually